By Our SportPesa Mega Jackpot prediction gives a pick for each of the 17 games on this weekend's card, with the balanced games marked so you know where a double is worth the extra cost. The Mega Jackpot is SportPesa's biggest weekly jackpot and the most searched jackpot in Kenya. Below the picks you will find how the card is put together, how the bonus tiers are reported to work and a step-by-step way to build your own ticket.
SportPesa Mega Jackpot prediction for this weekend
Selection for
| Time | League | Match | Tip | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 18:00 | England Premier League | Coventry City vs Sunderland AFC | 1X | A close game on paper, so the double chance covers home advantage and the draw. |
| France Ligue 1 | OGC Nice vs Stade Rennais FC | 1 | Nice usually play well at home against Rennes, so the home side gets a narrow edge. | |
| France Ligue 1 | FC Lorient vs Stade Brest 29 | 1 | Home advantage tips a fairly even Breton derby slightly towards Lorient. | |
| Sat 23:00 | Spain Segunda Division | Albacete Balompie vs CE Sabadell FC | 1 | Albacete were one of the stronger home picks on last week's slip and host a weaker side. |
| Spain La Liga | Getafe CF vs Sevilla FC | X | Getafe's games are usually low-scoring and tight, so a draw looks like a fair call. | |
| Italy Serie B | SS Arezzo vs Ascoli Calcio 1898 | 1 | Home advantage gives Arezzo a slight edge in a fixture that tends to be close. | |
| Germany Bundesliga | Union Berlin vs 1. FC Koln | 1 | Union are hard to beat at home, which gives them a narrow edge over Koln. | |
| Spain Segunda Division | AD Ceuta vs Sporting Gijon | X | Two evenly matched second-tier sides make a draw a reasonable outcome. | |
| Switzerland Super League | Lausanne-Sport vs FC Thun | X2 | Thun have been strong recently, so the double chance covers the away win and the draw. | |
| Greece Super League | Panetolikos vs OFI Crete | 1 | Panetolikos tend to be harder to beat in Agrinio, so they get a narrow home preference. | |
| France Ligue 1 | Paris FC vs AS Monaco | X2 | Monaco have the stronger squad, but Paris FC at home can make this close. | |
| England Premier League | Liverpool FC vs Arsenal FC | 1X | A big game between two top sides; home advantage and the draw are covered. | |
| Croatia HNL | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek | 1 | Lokomotiva get a slight lean at home in what looks like an even league game. | |
| Sun 20:00 | Italy Serie A | US Lecce vs Genoa CFC | X | Both sides usually fight at the bottom of the table and play cautious, tight games, so a draw is a fair call. |
| Sun 20:30 | Spain La Liga | Elche CF vs Valencia CF | 1 | Elche's home support gives them a slight edge over Valencia, though it is a close call. |
| Sun 21:00 | Portugal Primeira Liga | Maritimo Madeira vs Santa Clara Azores | X | An island derby between two similar sides, so a draw looks the fair outcome. |
| Norway Eliteserien | Vaalerenga IF vs Tromsoe IL | 1 | Valerenga at home in Oslo get a narrow edge over a Tromso side travelling a long way. |
Tips are opinions based on form and statistics, never guarantees. Stake only what you can afford to lose. 18+.
Each row shows the fixture, our main pick (1, X or 2) and, for the closest games, a suggested second outcome. Games flagged as bankers are the ones where one side is a clear favourite on form, home record and team news. Games flagged for a double are where our estimated chances for two outcomes sit close together. When the block is empty, SportPesa has not yet released the next card.
How the Mega Jackpot card works
According to Kenyan media coverage of past rounds, the SportPesa Mega Jackpot asks you to predict the 1X2 result of 17 matches, usually played over the weekend. A single line covers one outcome per game. Bonuses are reported for tickets a few games short of 17, although outlets disagree on the lowest paying score, and one report says a Mega entry also counts towards smaller sub-tiers. The stake per line, the prize pool and the bonus amounts are set by SportPesa and change from round to round, so check the current jackpot card and SportPesa's terms before you play.
The card often mixes the Premier League with lower English divisions and European leagues that most Kenyan punters rarely follow. That is deliberate: it makes the card hard. Expect at least a handful of games where you have little feel for either team.
Reading the 17 games: bankers, doubles and traps
| Type of game | What it looks like | How we treat it |
|---|---|---|
| Banker | Strong home side against a struggling visitor, no major absences | Single pick, no cover |
| Balanced | Two sides close in the table and in recent form | Main pick plus a suggested double |
| Draw-prone | Low-scoring teams, cautious away side, derby | Draw considered as the main pick or the cover |
| Trap | Big name away from home after a midweek European game | Downgraded from banker, often doubled |
The trap category is where most Kenyan tickets fail. A famous club playing away on Sunday after a Thursday European tie loses more often than its name suggests, and the odds-on favourite on the card can be the worst place to save money.
Building your own ticket step by step
- Set your weekly amount first. Decide what you will spend on the Mega Jackpot this round and do not change it after you see the card.
- Work out how many lines that buys. Divide your amount by the line stake shown on the card. That number decides how much cover you can afford.
- Choose your doubles. With 4 lines you can double two games; with 8 lines, three; with 16 lines, four. A triple uses up three times the lines, so save it for the single most open game.
- Fill the rest with single picks. Use our main pick or your own view, but avoid the habit of picking all home wins.
- Check the total before you confirm. The SportPesa betslip shows the combination cost. If the total is higher than your weekly amount, remove a double.
You can place the ticket on the site or the app; the SportPesa how-to-play guide covers the jackpot steps on the site and app.
What 17 games mean in numbers
There are 129,140,163 possible result combinations on a 17-game card. If you were right on 70 percent of games, a rate very few tipsters reach over a season, your chance of a perfect ticket would still be about 1 in 430. That is why most realistic targets are the bonus tiers rather than the full jackpot. No source of "accurate" or "sure" Mega Jackpot predictions can change this arithmetic, and anyone selling such tips is making a promise no one can keep.
Fees, tax and getting paid
Deposits into SportPesa are usually made through M-Pesa paybill or an STK push from the site; the number to use is shown in the key facts box on our SportPesa review. Excise duty is deducted from deposits and withholding tax from winnings before payout, so the amount you see in your wallet will differ from what you sent or won. Our betting tax guide explains the mechanism.
Open the SportPesa Mega Jackpot
The Mega Jackpot is for adults 18+ only. Keep it as a fixed weekend expense, and if you notice yourself raising the stake to win back a near miss, step away for a round.
Other jackpots to compare this weekend
If you want a second ticket, the Betika Grand Jackpot also runs on 17 weekend games, so the same reading of form often helps on both cards. For a shorter card in the middle of the week, see our SportPesa Midweek Jackpot predictions.
| Rank | Operator | Rating | Welcome offer | Highlights | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SportPesaRead review of SportPesa | Our rating: 7.5 out of 10 | See current offer on site |
| Visit siteReview of SportPesa |
| 2 |  BetikaRead review of BetikaM-Pesa paybill 290290 | Our rating: 8.0 out of 10 | See current offer on site |
| Visit siteReview of Betika |
| 3 |  OdiBetsRead review of OdiBetsM-Pesa paybill 290680 | Our rating: 7.5 out of 10 | Free bet for new customers18+ T&Cs apply |
| Visit siteReview of OdiBets |
| 4 |  BetPawaRead review of BetPawa | Our rating: 7.5 out of 10 | See current offer on site |
| Visit siteReview of BetPawa |
| 5 |  Mozzart BetRead review of Mozzart BetM-Pesa paybill 290059 | Our rating: 7.5 out of 10 | See current offer on site |
| Visit siteReview of Mozzart Bet |
18+. Offers and terms change often: always read the full terms on the operator site before you deposit.
Frequently asked questions
How many games are on the SportPesa Mega Jackpot?
The Mega Jackpot has been run with 17 games in Kenyan media coverage of recent rounds. Always check the number on the current card, as operators can change formats.
How many correct games do I need for a SportPesa Mega Jackpot bonus?
Reports agree that bonuses pay for nearly-perfect tickets but differ on the lowest qualifying score, so we do not quote one. The exact tiers and amounts are set by SportPesa for each round, so read the bonus table on the jackpot card.
When is the Mega Jackpot card released?
SportPesa usually publishes the card several days before the weekend fixtures. Our predictions appear in the feed on this page once the card is live.
Is there such a thing as a sure Mega Jackpot prediction?
No. A 17-game card has over 129 million possible outcomes. Use predictions as an informed opinion and never pay anyone who promises a certain result.
Can I play the Mega Jackpot by SMS?
We have not confirmed a current SMS route for the Mega Jackpot. Check the SportPesa how-to-play guide and the operator's own help pages before you send anything, and use the site or app if no official SMS format is listed.
